Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002292 0.002429 0.002574 0.002740 0.002926 0.003130 0.003371
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002063 0.002247 0.002454 0.002704 0.003003 0.003355 0.003808
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001930 0.002149 0.002403 0.002726 0.003134 0.003648 0.004366
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001815 0.002053 0.002339 0.002716 0.003216 0.003881 0.004888
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001707 0.001955 0.002259 0.002673 0.003241 0.004037 0.005326
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001660 0.001926 0.002261 0.002730 0.003405 0.004405 0.006174
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001612 0.001890 0.002248 0.002765 0.003536 0.004743 0.007073
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001543 0.001822 0.002187 0.002724 0.003547 0.004889 0.007662
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001469 0.001744 0.002106 0.002646 0.003492 0.004911 0.008002
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001426 0.001704 0.002075 0.002639 0.003545 0.005130 0.008858
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001343 0.001607 0.001961 0.002499 0.003368 0.004899 0.008558
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001314 0.001582 0.001944 0.002505 0.003434 0.005137 0.009550
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001290 0.001564 0.001940 0.002533 0.003544 0.005495 0.011130
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001254 0.001528 0.001906 0.002513 0.003570 0.005688 0.012365
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001233 0.001511 0.001901 0.002537 0.003678 0.006084 0.014736
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001206 0.001484 0.001878 0.002530 0.003727 0.006360 0.017004
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001172 0.001446 0.001839 0.002493 0.003713 0.006478 0.018712
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001162 0.001444 0.001851 0.002544 0.003881 0.007111 0.024969
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001148 0.001434 0.001852 0.002575 0.004009 0.007687 0.033619
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001120 0.001402 0.001816 0.002539 0.003992 0.007831 0.038938
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001085 0.001359 0.001764 0.002470 0.003899 0.007711 0.040371
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001066 0.001340 0.001746 0.002464 0.003941 0.008047 0.052524
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001022 0.001282 0.001666 0.002340 0.003710 0.007424 0.041913